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The IPO millionaire's tax trap
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Plus: Nvidia and Meta's warning on AI restrictions.
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Monday, July 27, 2026
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What happens when 12,000 tech employees become millionaires overnight
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line-height: 1.6">
Anthropic is expected to go public as early as this fall, and one employee has already accrued $40 million in vested equity after just three years with the company. Lockup periods will freeze the stock for months after the IPO closes, but the IRS will treat its full value as taxable income long before the first dollar is liquid. About 12,000 people across the coming wave of tech IPOs are headed into the same bind.
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<br/>
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Employers withhold taxes at 22%,
but many employees owe 37%. On $40 million in vested equity, the 15-point difference represents a $6 million bill the employee likely never planned for. Advisors tell clients to park the cash in Treasuries and avoid irreversible decisions for at least 90 days.
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But real estate is almost always the first major purchase, and that's likely to happen in San Francisco, where most tech employees reside and prices are already 14.4% higher than a year
ago.
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<br/>
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A study of windfall recipients found nearly 40 cents of every inherited dollar had vanished within a year. Tech employees are more financially literate than typical inheritors, but advisors see the same impulses and treat every client as vulnerable until proven otherwise.
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Sponsored
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The $2 Trillion Asset Class You're Missing
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<span style="background-color:rgba(0,0,0,0);color:#121721;font-size:16px;line-height:1.6">
While retail investors chase volatile tech stocks, institutions like BlackRock and KKR are quietly allocating billions to private credit—a market that's grown 19x since 2006 and now approaches $2
trillion globally.
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<br/>
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<span style="background-color:rgba(0,0,0,0);color:#121721;font-size:16px;line-height:1.6">
Why? Private credit offers what traditional portfolios increasingly lack: consistent yield potential (Percent's marketplace delivered 14.9% average net returns in 2024), lower correlation to public markets, and shorter investment horizons averaging just 9 months.
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<span style="background-color:rgba(0,0,0,0);color:#121721;font-size:16px;line-height:1.6">
With Percent, accredited investors can now access the same institutional-quality deals that were once exclusive to the ultra-wealthy. Start with as little as $500 and get up to $500 on your first investment. Invest like the smart money.
</span>
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Access Institutional-Grade Private Credit
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<h2 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:20px;font-weight:bold;color:#121721">
Would you spend most of your tech windfall?
</h2>
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<div class="editor-poll-answers classic">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="margin:0 auto 8px auto" width="100%">
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none;border-spacing:0;border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;mso-margin-top-alt:0px;mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px;mso-padding-alt:0px 0px 0px 0px;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
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<td align="center" bgcolor="#000000" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:25px;-moz-border-radius:25px;border-radius:25px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#121721">
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block; ">
Yes. I'd buy something I always wanted
</span>
<!--<![endif]-->
<!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/11016848/222404108/10231819/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNy0yNw&x=a82c192f" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 25px; -moz-border-radius: 25px; border-radius: 25px; color: #00D5FF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; border: none; display:
block; ">Yes. I'd buy something I always wanted</a><![endif]-->
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<td align="center" bgcolor="#000000" style="text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;-webkit-border-radius:25px;-moz-border-radius:25px;border-radius:25px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#121721" valign="middle">
<table align="center" bgcolor="#000000" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius:25px;-moz-border-radius:25px;border-radius:25px;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
<tbody>
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<td align="center" bgcolor="#000000" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:25px;-moz-border-radius:25px;border-radius:25px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#121721">
<!--[if !mso]><!-->
<span style="-webkit-border-radius: 25px; -moz-border-radius: 25px; border-radius: 25px; color: #00D5FF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; border: none; display:
block; ">
No. I'd invest first and stay disciplined
</span>
<!--<![endif]-->
<!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/11016848/222404108/10231820/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNy0yNw&x=053456c1" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 25px; -moz-border-radius: 25px; border-radius: 25px; color: #00D5FF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; border: none; display:
block; ">No. I'd invest first and stay disciplined</a><![endif]-->
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="border:none;border-spacing:0;border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-lspace:0;mso-table-rspace:0;mso-margin-top-alt:0px;mso-margin-bottom-alt:0px;mso-padding-alt:0px 0px 0px 0px;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
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<td align="center" bgcolor="#000000" style="text-align:center;vertical-align:middle;-webkit-border-radius:25px;-moz-border-radius:25px;border-radius:25px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#121721" valign="middle">
<table align="center" bgcolor="#000000" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="-webkit-border-radius:25px;-moz-border-radius:25px;border-radius:25px;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
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<td align="center" bgcolor="#000000" style="text-align:center;-webkit-border-radius:25px;-moz-border-radius:25px;border-radius:25px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#121721">
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<span style="-webkit-border-radius: 25px; -moz-border-radius: 25px; border-radius: 25px; color: #00D5FF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; border: none; display:
block; ">
I'd spend a fraction and save the rest
</span>
<!--<![endif]-->
<!--[if mso]><a href="https://www.ne16.com/t/11016848/222404108/10231821/1/1009235/?abb9e380=NGYzZmQyODYtMmZhOS00YzdjLWFkYzktMzQyOGNhZmI3ZDBl&f5d63f87=REIlMjAwNy0yNw&x=a269fd13" target="_blank" style="-webkit-border-radius: 25px; -moz-border-radius: 25px; border-radius: 25px; color: #00D5FF; text-decoration: none; font-family: Arial; font-size: 16px; border: none; display:
block; ">I'd spend a fraction and save the rest </a><![endif]-->
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<td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="width:600px;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#121721" width="600">
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<h1 style="mso-line-height-rule:exactly;Margin:0;font-family:Arial;font-size:32px;font-weight:bold;color:#121721">
<span style="font-family:Arial">
Here's what you need to know
</span>
</h1>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="snippet td100" colspan="6" style="width:600px;position:static;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:16px;color:#121721" width="600">
<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="dragndrop" data-rss-posts="undefined" height="100%" style="table-layout:fixed;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto" width="100%">
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<td align="left" class="editor-cell-image td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#F9F8F6;width:200px;vertical-align:middle;text-align:left;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:16px;color:#121721" width="200">
<a aria-label="Mandel Ngan / AFP via Getty Images" style="color:#121721" target="_blank" title="Mandel Ngan / AFP via Getty Images">
<img alt="Mandel Ngan / AFP via Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FDonald%2520Trump%2520tariff%2520news%2520conference-1920x1279.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODUxNDczMDkuMTM2OTMyNn0:1woIMX:cr1CXiRdvBbPd1IMPg7y0nObwf6TYlWZ1yJoH8-21Dw" style="width:200px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
</a>
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<div>
<strong style="color:#016FF0">
<a data-linktext="Trump's new widespread tariffs target forced-labor products." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#17253D" target="_blank">
Trump's new widespread tariffs target forced-labor products.
</a>
</strong>
The measures, which replace President Donald Trump's worldwide tariffs, incur 10% to 12.5% charges on 99.4% of U.S.
imports from top trading partners. Legal experts say these duties are less likely to be overturned in court.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="background-color:#F9F8F6">
<td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="background-color:#F9F8F6;width:600px;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#121721" width="600">
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<a aria-label="Bloomberg / Getty Images" style="color:#121721" target="_blank" title="Bloomberg / Getty Images">
<img alt="Bloomberg / Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2278890511-1920x1280.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODUxNDczMDkuMTM3MDY4NX0:1woIMX:NBFznx0irhenl9G1O9rk3yS60OiBCrbzTEBzgzUFIaA" style="width:200px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
</a>
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<div>
<strong style="color:#016FF0">
<a data-linktext="Traders
now see an 82% chance the Fed raises rates in September." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#17253D" target="_blank">
Traders now see an 82% chance the Fed raises rates in September.
</a>
</strong>
The odds jumped from about 53% a week earlier as global oil prices spiked past $100 a barrel and weekly unemployment claims fell to their lowest level since 1969, a sign of what some economists call an overheating economy.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="background-color:#F9F8F6">
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<td align="left" class="editor-cell-image td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#F9F8F6;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:auto;vertical-align:middle;width:200px;text-align:left;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:16px;color:#121721" width="200">
<a aria-label="Bing Guan / Bloomberg via Getty Images" style="color:#121721" target="_blank" title="Bing Guan / Bloomberg via
Getty Images">
<img alt="Bing Guan / Bloomberg via Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2095060450-1920x1280.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODUxNDczMDkuMTM3MjI1Mn0:1woIMX:KbbEz6q2Sq0uaXM-vCUsUeb815eLKIakI8-pAC8K5ns" style="width:200px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
</a>
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<div>
<strong style="color:#016FF0">
<a data-linktext="E.U. charges TikTok
for exposing children's accounts to strangers." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#17253D" target="_blank">
E.U. charges TikTok for exposing children's accounts to strangers.
</a>
</strong>
The European Commission says TikTok's default settings make it too easy for predators and cyberbullies to reach minors, putting the ByteDance-owned platform at risk of a fine worth up to 6% of its global annual revenue.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="background-color:#F9F8F6">
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<a aria-label="Getty Images / Picture Alliance" style="color:#121721" target="_blank" title="Getty Images /
Picture Alliance">
<img alt="Getty Images / Picture Alliance" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2195802149-1920x1281.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODUxNDczMDkuMTM3MzgwNn0:1woIMX:Qxps7q5jAnOHxeE6jhpS0MOKzEywf8et-v9wjmbdfGA" style="width:200px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
</a>
</td>
<td class="editor-cell-text td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#F9F8F6;padding:10px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:380px;line-height:1.4;color:#121721;vertical-align:top;mso-line-height-rule:exactly" width="380">
<div>
<strong style="color:#016FF0">
<a data-linktext="Amazon requires sellers to label AI-generated people in photos." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#17253D" target="_blank">
Amazon requires sellers to label AI-generated people in photos.
</a>
</strong>
The move follows a New York state law, in effect since last month, mandating disclosure of digitally created human figures in ads. Amazon's rule covers any photorealistic synthetic person in seller-uploaded images or videos.
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="background-color:#F9F8F6">
<td class="td100" colspan="6" height="24" style="background-color:#F9F8F6;width:600px;height:24px;font-size:1px;vertical-align:top;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#121721" width="600">
<!--[if mso]><img src="//editor.ne16.com/spacer.gif" style="mso-hide:all;border:0;"><![endif]-->
</td>
</tr>
<tr class="trpad10" style="background-color:#F9F8F6">
<td align="left" class="editor-cell-image td100" colspan="2" style="background-color:#F9F8F6;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:auto;vertical-align:middle;width:200px;text-align:left;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;font-size:16px;color:#121721" width="200">
<a aria-label="Eli Hiller / The Washington Post via Getty Images" style="color:#121721" target="_blank" title="Eli
Hiller / The Washington Post via Getty Images">
<img alt="Eli Hiller / The Washington Post via Getty Images" class="img100" data-linktype="Normal" data-target="_blank" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Fqz.com%252Fcdn-cgi%252Fimage%252Fwidth%253D640%252Cheight%253D360%252Cfit%253Dcover%252Cquality%253D85%252Cformat%253Dauto%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fassets.qz.com%252Fmedia%252FGettyImages-2226519693-1920x1080.jpg/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZxei5jb20lMkZjZCIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODUxNDczMDkuMTM3NDk5Nn0:1woIMX:47D7ez4nDTXUfJjssB58UmUSR6QtMx2RgV6FIh-_N2s" style="width:200px;vertical-align:middle;border:0" width="200"/>
</a>
</td>
<td class="editor-cell-text td100" colspan="4" style="background-color:#F9F8F6;padding:10px;font-size:16px;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;width:380px;line-height:1.4;color:#121721;vertical-align:top;mso-line-height-rule:exactly" width="380">
<div>
<strong style="color:#016FF0">
<a data-linktext="Trump's
pledge against higher electricity bills wins support." data-linktype="Normal" style="color:#17253D" target="_blank">
Trump's pledge against higher electricity bills wins support.
</a>
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