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   US retail earnings and the investing week ahead.
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               👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
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               Shop Drop
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               Some of America’s biggest retailers are reporting earnings this week – and that’s going to offer a valuable window on how US households are weathering sticky inflation and a depressing jobs market.
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                        🔍 The focus this week: Retail therapy
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The US second-quarter earnings season might be in its late innings, but some of the country’s biggest retailers will be stepping up to the plate this week. And their results – along with what they say about the months ahead – should give investors some valuable clues about how consumers are holding up against a weakening job market and stubborn inflation.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="4hcqc" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Home improvement giants
                        <b>
                         Home Depot
                        </b>
                        and
                        <b>
                         Lowe’s
                        </b>
                        – reporting on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively – should offer a particularly useful read. After all, splashing out on a kitchen renovation or a new patio is easier to put off than buying groceries, so their results can reveal a lot about consumers’ confidence and willingness to spend. Analysts expect sales growth to have cooled slightly from the previous quarter, but they’re still penciling in healthy mid- to high-single-digit increases.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="c6t5f" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Then there’s
                        <b>
                         TJX Companies
                        </b>
                        , the parent of everyone’s favorite cut-price retailer TJ Maxx. The chain is a go-to for bargain hunters, making its results, due Wednesday, another useful consumer checkup: if more Americans are finding that their pay isn’t keeping up with inflation, then they may be looking to spend less and seek out cheaper options. TJX would be one of the clearest places to spot that shift. Analysts are expecting sales to grow 5%, but that forecast could prove conservative – TJX has beaten their estimates for 12 quarters straight.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="db1k6" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Last but not least is
                        <b>
                         Walmart
                        </b>
                        – America’s biggest retailer – reporting on Thursday. Its typical customer skews toward the lower and middle parts of the income spectrum, so its results should say plenty about how those households are holding up. And that’s especially relevant with talk of a “K-shaped economy” growing louder. The idea is that wealthier, asset-owning households keep getting richer, while those further down the income ladder fall further behind – creating a divide that widens over time.
                       </p>
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                        Analysts also expect Walmart's sales to grow 5% year-over-year, roughly in line with its recent quarters. But the bigger story will be in the details. Investors will be watching closely for any signs that lower-income shoppers are tightening their belts – spending less or hunting for even cheaper options down Walmart’s already budget-friendly aisles. If they are, that’ll be a solid indication of just how stretched household budgets have become.
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                        Join Finimize Pro
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                        If you’re managing
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                         your own portfolio
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                        , you already know that the job isn’t just pressing “buy”.
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                        It’s sorting
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                        from the utter nonsense.
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                        , you get actionable investing ideas from experienced analysts, model portfolios, and regular updates on every live idea, plus, full access to our research archive.
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                        It’s built for people who want to manage their own money and outthink the market – with proven research and cutting-edge insights.
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                       <p data-block-key="2pqmh" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Best part: it’s been known to
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         pay for itself.
                        </a>
                        Since launch in 2024, Finimize Pro ideas have returned
                        <b>
                         32% on average
                        </b>
                        , beaten their benchmarks by
                        <b>
                         18 percentage points
                        </b>
                        , and posted a
                        <b>
                         69% hit rate
                        </b>
                        (meaning, yep, most calls made money).
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="abloc" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         <b>
                          Upgrade to Pro
                         </b>
                        </a>
                       </p>
                      </div>
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                    </tr>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
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          <tbody>
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               <tbody>
                <tr>
                 <td style="vertical-align:top;padding:25px;padding-top:16px;padding-bottom:16px;">
                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
                   <tbody>
                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
                      <div style="font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;;font-size:13px;line-height:1;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                       <p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        📅 On the calendar
                       </p>
                       <ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
                        <li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Monday:
                         </b>
                         Japan economic growth (Q2), China retail sales and industrial production (July).
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="ahn06" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Tuesday:
                         </b>
                         UK labor market report (June), eurozone economic sentiment (August), US industrial production (July).
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Baidu, Home Depot, BHP.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="dgdf6" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Wednesday:
                         </b>
                         UK inflation (July), minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         TJX Companies, Analog Devices, Lowe’s.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="462ph" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
                         <b>
                          Thursday:
                         </b>
                         Japan trade balance (July), China one- and five-year loan prime rate announcements.
                         <b>
                          Earnings:
                         </b>
                         Alibaba, Deere, Walmart.
                        </li>
                        <li data-block-key="frou1" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
                         <b>
                          Friday:
                         </b>
                         Japan inflation (July), UK retail sales (July), Japan PMIs (August), UK PMIs (August), eurozone PMIs (August), US PMIs (August), eurozone consumer confidence (August).
                        </li>
                       </ul>
                      </div>
                     </td>
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                 </td>
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               </tbody>
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                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
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                       <p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        👀 What you might’ve missed last week
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6z208" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        🌎
                        <b>
                         The US
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="6crq8" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         Nvidia
                        </b>
                        is
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         teaming up
                        </a>
                        with six Wall Street heavyweights to mobilize more than $500 billion for AI infrastructure, helping its customers fund the chips, power, and data centers behind the boom. The firms plan to create pools of mostly debt financing, potentially using computing power as collateral. That could unlock more spending across the AI ecosystem, sure – but it also deepens concerns about circular financing, with Nvidia bankrolling customers to buy its own products.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="7l5ts" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        US inflation
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         cooled
                        </a>
                        as expected last month: consumer prices rose 3.4% in July, easing from 3.5% in June. And core inflation – which strips out jumpier food and energy prices – dipped to 2.5% from 2.6%, matching the five-year low it hit back in February. That took some heat off the Federal Reserve – traders no longer fully expect an interest rate hike this year. Still, energy prices remain sharply higher than a year ago, and with the war in the Middle East dragging on, another inflation flare-up can’t be ruled out.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="9ut8j" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        <b>
                         🌍 Europe
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="1b50i" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        Europe’s major benchmark, the Stoxx 600, hit a
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         string of record highs
                        </a>
                        last week, with a handful of factors fueling its rally. European companies are on track to deliver 22% year-over-year earnings growth in the second quarter – their snappiest pace since 2022. Better still, the strength is broad-based, with financials, energy, industrials, and plenty of other sectors all pitching in – so not just tech. In fact, the Stoxx 600’s relatively low tech weighting – at just 10% – is making the index more attractive to international investors looking to diversify away from tech-heavy markets elsewhere.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="26eqi" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        The UK economy
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         grew 0.4%
                        </a>
                        in the second quarter, brushing off the hit from higher energy prices sparked by the Iran war. The economy expanded 0.3% in June alone, bouncing back from a flat May and defying forecasts for a 0.1% contraction. The World Cup and hot weather helped get consumers spending, while business investment jumped 1.7%. But economists suspect the boost could prove short-lived, with pricier energy and stubborn inflation expected to squeeze household budgets in the coming months.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="1b94e" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
                        🌏
                        <b>
                         Taiwan
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="aes41" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
                        <b>
                         TSMC’s
                        </b>
                        July sales
                        <a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
                         jumped 45%
                        </a>
                        from a year ago to $14.5 billion, suggesting the AI chip boom still has plenty of fuel despite worries about tech valuations. The chipmaker recently lifted its 2026 spending plans to a record $60 billion to $64 billion and expects full-year sales to grow by over 40%. And demand could stay strong beyond that: Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon have nearly $2.4 trillion in AI-related spending commitments lined up for the coming years.
                       </p>
                      </div>
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                    Stay classy ✌️
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                    Your Finimize Analyst team
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