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Daily 2026-08-19
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All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
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<td class="s20">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
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S&P 500
</td>
<td class="s24">
0.21% ▲
</td>
<td class="s25">
7,708
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s23">
GOLD
</td>
<td class="s24">
3.35% ▲
</td>
<td class="s25">
$4,569
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s23">
BITCOIN*
</td>
<td class="s24">
6.18% ▲
</td>
<td class="s25">
$68,681
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*24-hour change
</td>
</tr>
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</td>
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</tbody>
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</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
<tbody>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:0;padding-right:0;padding-bottom:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
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</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
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<td class="s20">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" style="" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s9">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s22" width="100%">
<tbody>
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<td class="s23">
FTSE 100
</td>
<td class="s24">
0.18% ▲
</td>
<td class="s25">
10,747
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s23">
BRENT OIL
</td>
<td class="s24">
0.47% ▲
</td>
<td class="s25">
$91.45
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="s23">
US BONDS*
</td>
<td class="s24">
0.07% ▼
</td>
<td class="s25">
4.64%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
*10-year government yield
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
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</tbody>
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</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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</tbody>
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<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s1" role="presentation">
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<td style="direction:ltr;font-size:0px;padding:0;text-align:center;">
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<p style="border-top:solid 1px #E4E8F3;font-size:1px;margin:0px auto;width:100%;">
</p>
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<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX
(
<a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
VIX
</a>
)
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<p data-block-key="10zqs">
<b>
🦿
</b>
Investors backflipped for Unitree’s robot – and its stock
</p>
<p data-block-key="6g0i4">
<b>
⛔ FOR PRO MEMBERS:
</b>
How not to invest: the common mistakes to avoid
</p>
<p data-block-key="3rjr6">
<b>
🍺
</b>
Carlsberg’s beer sales sank last quarter
</p>
<p data-block-key="cto0f">
🎙️ Market Open this week: that astonishing
AI spend
</p>
<p data-block-key="bvg40">
<b>
👇 Keep reading to find out more
</b>
</p>
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Robot Rock
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<p data-block-key="mzzxs">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="7ftje">
<b>
Unitree
</b>
– the Chinese tech firm best known for its backflipping robot – soared
<i>
460%
</i>
during its Shanghai exchange debut on Wednesday.
</p>
<p data-block-key="16fd2">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="893ou">
🔺 Domestic investors piled into the robot-maker’s IPO, with demand reportedly
<i>
8,000
</i>
times the number of shares
available. So it makes sense that the stock’s expensive, selling at around 214 times the firm’s annual sales. At the end of its first day, Unitree was valued at nearly $51 billion.
</p>
<p data-block-key="3dql4">
▶ The company recently unveiled a model that can run at 12.66 meters per second: faster than Usain Bolt. That’s cool and all, but it’s really the AI inside that’s captured the attention of buyers (and investors). Unitree shipped more than 5,500 humanoid robots last year – and this year,
its total sales are expected to grow
<i>
83%
</i>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="l1ic">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<img alt="Russell Burns's profile image" height="40" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FRussell.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%252Ccompress%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D100%2526s%253D982ade4d86c6a8e6b7a5ecd0bea2248d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODcxNzcwMTcuNTUyNTYzN30:1wwoNl:GMsCsszzswbiYIrrmGyX_PtQC63iOR64otlazYxioZc" style="border-radius:50%;display:block" width="40"/>
</td>
<td style="vertical-align:middle;font-size:14px">
<span style="font-weight:700">
Russell Burns
</span>
<span style="font-size:12px;color:#7F879C;text-transform:uppercase">
Analyst
</span>
</td>
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<td style="width:31px">
</td>
<td>
<p data-block-key="4elig">
<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
America strikes back.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="37s61">
China’s bid for tech self-sufficiency – with a side of global dominance – has seen it emerge as an early leader in robotics, ahead of the US. But America’s trying to level the playing field: last month, authorities banned imports of new foreign-made robots on the grounds that they’re a threat to national security. Handily, that gives US rivals like
<b>
Figure AI
</b>
and
<b>
Tesla,
</b>
with its Optimus program, a bit of breathing room.
</p>
<p data-block-key="81vb7">
<b>
<i>
The bigger picture:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Not quite
</i>
Terminator
<i>
territory – yet.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="a1vvq">
Physical AI is expected to be one of the strongest use cases for AI overall – and, therefore, one of the biggest investment opportunities. Clever chatbots and agentic AI are helpful, but a robot that can clean your house is on another level.
</p>
<p data-block-key="2s69a">
⚠️ The catch – both
economic and existential – is that humanoid robots could eventually compete with actual humans for jobs. So investing in them could be one way to benefit, rather than suffer, from the disruption.
</p>
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You might also like ⇢
<a>
Alphabet,
Nebius, SK Hynix, Humanoids – And The Tech Rotation
</a>
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To Get Better At Investing, Start By Getting Better At Being Wrong
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<p data-block-key="pr7ai">
I spent a summer beach week reading Barry Ritholtz’s
<a>
<i>
How Not To Invest
</i>
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="efcsj">
The book opens with a
<a>
wonderfully unglamorous proposition
</a>
: successful investing is less about making brilliant calls and more about avoiding stupid mistakes.
</p>
<p data-block-key="c7398">
Markets are complex, human beings are emotional, and the future is
<a>
stubbornly unknowable
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="23ajf">
Ritholtz’s advice, then, is to
<a>
stop worrying
</a>
about outsmarting everyone else, and focus instead on making fewer costly errors.
</p>
<p data-block-key="sgsl">
Think of investing like a tennis match: you don’t need to hit the most spectacular shots. You just need to
<a>
hit fewer balls into the net
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="7hips">
That’s today’s Research:
<a>
get better at being wrong
</a>
.
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Read or listen to
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👀
</span>
<span class="s19">
Today's headlines
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</mj-raw>
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<mj-raw>
<span class="s34">
Drying Out
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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<div class="s31">
<p data-block-key="cougy">
<b>
What’s going on here?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="9c51u">
Danish drinks company
<b>
Carlsberg
</b>
served up mixed results, after falling beer sales overall and extreme weather in China skunked its numbers.
</p>
<p data-block-key="etnq2">
<b>
What does this mean?
</b>
</p>
<p data-block-key="46ats">
Revenue and profit both poured below expectations – and, as with a lot of things, beer was to blame.
</p>
<p data-block-key="ddtn5">
▶ Despite filling World Cup revelers’ cups, the number of beers that Carlsberg sold – its core business – fell by 1%. Those figures were flat in Western Europe and Asia, while heavy June rains in China, the brewer’s biggest beer market, kept folks out of bars and restaurants and off the bottle (or can).
</p>
<p data-block-key="cqjh4">
▶ The number of soft drinks and alcohol-free brews that Carlsberg sold globally grew roughly 10%, boosted by customers in India and Central and
Eastern Europe.
</p>
<p data-block-key="32ml1">
▶ The drinks company nudged its full-year profit outlook up, although that optimism rests mostly on cost-cutting and acquisitions.
</p>
<p data-block-key="12e3s">
🔻 Investors weren't fooled: they initially sent the shares down more than 3%.
</p>
<p data-block-key="5o0jq">
<b>
Why should I care?
</b>
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<img alt="Charlie Pullan, CFA's profile image" height="40" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FCharlie_Pullan_profile_pic_287261011_aksndias.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%252Ccompress%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D100%2526s%253De315726a9b0ce6779549f4684e94474d/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODcxNzcwMTcuNTUzNzc1fQ:1wwoNl:g00OFi1ItO9_qztK78xhJ5cvbv8KwO4MfR4DbiMhOw8" style="border-radius:50%;display:block" width="40"/>
</td>
<td style="vertical-align:middle;font-size:14px">
<span style="font-weight:700">
Charlie Pullan, CFA
</span>
<span style="font-size:12px;color:#7F879C;text-transform:uppercase">
Analyst
</span>
</td>
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<td style="width:19px;border-right:2px solid #E4E8F3">
</td>
<td style="width:31px">
</td>
<td>
<p data-block-key="n18v0">
<b>
<i>
For markets:
</i>
</b>
<i>
Last orders for Big Beer.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="2hoeg">
Beer is losing its fizz across the board: squeezed budgets are making folks choosier, while increasingly health-conscious consumers are swapping brews for better-for-you beverages.
</p>
<p data-block-key="31gug">
▶ Carlsberg’s closest rival,
<b>
Heineken
</b>
, said in February that weak beer demand had pushed it to axe nearly 7% of its workforce. And last quarter,
<b>
Molson
Coors
</b>
– maker of Coors Light – saw its sales fall 3.3%, as the broader US beer market shrank more than 4%.
</p>
<p data-block-key="bpcra">
<b>
<i>
The bigger picture:
</i>
</b>
<i>
El Niño is already harshing the vibe.
</i>
</p>
<p data-block-key="2m17d">
Bad weather kept Chinese drinkers at home – and that might be a preview of what’s to come. El Niño – the Pacific warming pattern that scrambles weather worldwide – got underway in June, and forecasters now put the odds of it strengthening through fall
and into winter above 90%.
</p>
<p data-block-key="bmcko">
⚠️ That matters beyond beer runs. Big El Niño years bring droughts in some places and floods in others, hitting crop yields, snarling supply chains, and pushing up food and commodity prices.
</p>
</td>
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<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:10px 25px;padding-top:24px;padding-right:0;padding-left:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
You might also like ⇢
<a>
El Niño’s
Back And, Boy, Could It Make A Mess Of Things
</a>
</div>
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<span class="s19">
Sponsored by Schwab
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If Big Tech is your latest boy band crush, this might be a good time to ask what happens
<a>
after the
tour
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="bq6q9">
Our guide with Charles Schwab digs into what’s really driving US growth now – and where the next wave could come from
<a>
beyond the headliners
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="7ava5">
Read it on the
<a>
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</a>
before your portfolio turns into a one-band fan club.
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✨
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Sarah's Digest
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What others like you are reading today...
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🤝
<a>
Google’s AI Chip Push Hands Marvell A $12.2 Billion Option
</a>
</div>
</td>
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<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s39">
The deal could drive up to $120 billion in custom chip sales through fiscal 2033, setting Marvell up to take on Broadcom.
</div>
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<td align="left" class="s38">
<div class="s31">
₩
<a>
SK Hynix Plans A 40 Trillion Won Share Buyback
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s39">
The AI memory-chip leader says it will repurchase and cancel up to 24 million shares by November 19th, and direct more than 50% of 2025-2027 free cash flow to shareholder returns.
</div>
</td>
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<td align="left" class="s38">
<div class="s31">
☁️
<a>
Nebius Lines Up $4.5 Billion To Expand Its AI Cloud
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s39">
The Amsterdam-based data center firm is issuing convertible notes and planning swaps into shares as it ramps up GPU and capacity spending.
</div>
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🏦
<a>
US Treasury Doubles Long-Bond Buybacks, And Yields Slip
</a>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td align="left" class="s5">
<div class="s39">
The Treasury will lift its liquidity-support buybacks to at least $4 billion per operation for 10- to 30-year bonds from Sept. 9th through Nov. 4th.
</div>
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💲
<a>
The Loonie Got A Breather From A US Tariff Delay
</a>
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A three-day pause on planned 50% tariffs helped Canada’s currency, but markets still want proof a US-Canada deal will stick.
</div>
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This week's Market Open
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<p data-block-key="x3mx9">
<b>
This week:
</b>
the eye-watering AI spend, how Wall Street is finding ways to pay for it – and how long it can all last. Hear what Russell and Reda have to say about it: Market Open is on
<a>
<b>
Apple
</b>
</a>
,
<a>
<b>
Spotify
</b>
</a>
, and
wherever you get your podcasts…
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<div class="s31">
<strong>
"Robots have solved and will continue to solve so many human problems. Except for all the ones that they cause."
</strong>
– Hank Green (an American YouTube creator)
</div>
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<div class="s17">
<mj-raw>
<span class="s18">
🎯
</span>
<span class="s19">
On Our Radar
</span>
</mj-raw>
</div>
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<div class="s31">
<p data-block-key="aaghi">
<b>
1. Surveillance state.
</b>
Flock Safety’s next-gen AI tool does
<i>
a lot
</i>
more than
<a>
track license plates
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="5i562">
<b>
2. Stop press: Matthew McConaughey quit smoking weed.
</b>
And with the help of
<a>
“That’s The Way Love Goes”
</a>
.
</p>
<p data-block-key="21i9q">
<b>
<i>
3. Indiana Jones And The Double Hip Replacement.
</i>
</b>
At age 84, Harrison Ford is donning the fedora
<a>
once again
</a>
.
</p>
</div>
</td>
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<div class="s31">
Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
<a class="s40">
Charlie
</a>
,
<a class="s40">
Russell
</a>
, and
<a class="s40">
Linda
</a>
. Got an idea? A question?
<a>
Get in touch
</a>
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