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   Daily 2026-05-02
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   Plus, a Japanese toilet-maker is getting into AI | Your Daily Brief is ready |
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               3:14 read time
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                     WHAT'S GOING ON
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                       All metrics are as of the latest market close.
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                         <td class="s21">
                          S&amp;P 500
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.28% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          7,229
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          GOLD
                         </td>
                         <td class="s24">
                          0.15% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $4,623
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td class="s21">
                          BITCOIN*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          2.40% ▲
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $78,141
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *24-hour change
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          FTSE 100
                         </td>
                         <td class="s24">
                          0.03% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          10,375
                         </td>
                        </tr>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          BRENT OIL
                         </td>
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                          1.26% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          $109.01
                         </td>
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                         <td class="s21">
                          US BONDS*
                         </td>
                         <td class="s22">
                          0.01% ▼
                         </td>
                         <td class="s23">
                          4.39%
                         </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                         <td colspan="3" style="font-size:10px;font-family:Trispace,monospace;color:#7F879C;padding:0">
                          *10-year government yield
                         </td>
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                 <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#181c25;">
                  WALL STREET FEAR GAUGE INDEX 
(
                  <a style="font-weight:400;font-family:Trispace,monospace">
                   VIX
                  </a>
                  )
                 </div>
                </td>
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                     <img alt="Wall Street Fear Gauge Index" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.bannerbear.com%252Fdirect%252F7Q4rjJzQn7vZo8qPOx%252Frequests%252F000%252F143%252F864%252F655%252F9BvRDJ724zWmDmggQlAKNOd03%252F9ff9d5497863f86498834005e165332d52f573f0.png%253Ffit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D768%2526s%253D2c6904fe7c36fc1233223803cb3478a4/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3Nzc2NzUxNzIuNzk5NjE4Mn0:1wIwWC:hNM4WEwbfpYW6ymz95t9KU8DwceKmeAK8qhBhFF7P8o" width="536"/>
                    </td>
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                      <div class="s30">
                       <p data-block-key="10zqs">
                        <b>
                         😎 The sun’s out, and we’re taking a long weekend – catch you on the flip side!
                        </b>
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="58id6">
                        🎸 US stocks rallied in April on tech, drugs, and rock ‘n’ roll
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="9vtf5">
                        🚽 Everyone’s getting into AI these days – even Japan’s leading toilet maker
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="a0qla">
                        🧐 From
the Research desk, it’s our monthly performance update
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="bvg40">
                        <b>
                         👇 Keep reading to find out more
                        </b>
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
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                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
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                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     👀
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Today's headlines
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                  <div class="s32">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s33">
                     Tech, Drugs, And Rock ‘N’ Roll
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
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                  <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="s9" role="presentation">
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                      <a target="_blank">
                       <img alt="Tech, Drugs, And Rock ‘N’ Roll" class="s11" height="auto" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252F010526-Editorial-RocknRoll.original.png%253Ffit%253Dcrop%2526h%253D600%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Df9df9b10a4b0d07fe963a03aea72832c/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3Nzc2NzUxNzIuNzk5NzY3N30:1wIwWC:l86ufxuP6lVLzUN04IaoJEB4Fd7qNoky1BXfBzf-u60" width="568"/>
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                  <div class="s30">
                   <p data-block-key="efa1x">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="39aif">
                    US stocks just had their best month since late 2020, with the
                    <b>
                     S&amp;P 500
                    </b>
                    climbing 10% in April.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="f95ts">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a9g4t">
                    Big Tech blew past earnings expectations this week, pulling the American stock market index higher and extending an already juicy rally.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="dgmhu">
                    ▶
Investors loved
                    <a>
                     <b>
                      Alphabet’s
                     </b>
                    </a>
                    22% year-over-year sales growth – makes sense, seeing as that suggests the firm’s hefty AI spend is paying off.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="9al16">
                    ▶
                    <b>
                     Eli Lilly
                    </b>
                    kept the party going, with demand for its obesity drugs driving overall sales up
                    <i>
                     56%
                    </i>
                    on the year before. That led
the pharma company to hike its full-year revenue forecast.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="bvgp8">
                    ▶ And, in the background, US economic growth
                    <a>
                     picked up
                    </a>
                    just enough to soothe nerves, supported by the AI boom and consumer spending.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="77bek">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="ejdl7">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     A note of caution.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="cgtbl">
                    Record earnings aside, four of the biggest tech companies in the world – Alphabet,
                    <b>
                     Meta
                    </b>
                    ,
                    <b>
                     Amazon
                    </b>
                    , and
                    <b>
                     Microsoft
                    </b>
                    – are collectively dropping
                    <i>
                     $725 billion
                    </i>
                    on AI infrastructure this year. While investors rewarded Alphabet, they were less convinced by Meta’s big spend, sending the stock down 8.6% on Thursday. And after paying its bills and overhead, Amazon isn’t
expected to have any cash left – in fact, analysts say it could overspend by as much as $12 billion.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="em8h3">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      The bigger picture:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     New wisdom.
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="d308j">
                    Once upon a time, folks would “sell in May and go away” until the fall. The idea was that stocks would lose momentum during slow New York summers – only, the data has contradicted that for over a decade now. Since 2013, the S&amp;P 500’s delivered an average May return of 1.5%. See, most
US investors now save into stocks automatically each month – and a handful of tech behemoths largely steer the market’s performance anyway.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="54nvk">
                    ▶ So instead of checking the calendar, ask whether your portfolio is still balanced after a big rally. It might be time to sell a slice of your
                    <a>
                     winners
                    </a>
                    and lock in some gains, or to listen to the still-relevant Wall Street adage: “hedge when you can, not when you must”.
                   </p>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                 <td align="left" class="s5">
                  <div style="font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:bold;line-height:1.5;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
                   You might also like ⇢
                   <a>
                    The “Old Economy” Stocks Are Starting To Look Pretty Interesting Again
                   </a>
                  </div>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
             </div>
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                  <div class="s16">
                   <mj-raw>
                    <span class="s17">
                     📈
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     Chart Of The Day
                    </span>
                   </mj-raw>
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                    This is your monthly
                    <a>
                     Finimize Research Performance Update
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                    – where we size up our investment ideas all over again, and see how they’ve held up.
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                    As always,
                    <a>
                     every trade
                    </a>
                    is tracked, with links and live numbers, so you can see it all: the ups, the downs, and everything in between. Because, yeah, it’s not enough that our ideas sound clever on paper; they’ve got to answer to the market.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="46bfp">
                    Since their launch in October 2024, our ideas
have delivered an average return of 29%, beaten their benchmarks by 13 percentage points, and posted an 83% “hit rate” – meaning most of our calls
                    <a>
                     made money
                    </a>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="mas2">
                    But it’s a new month, so let’s go
                    <a>
                     analyst by analyst
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                    , and get into what worked, what didn’t, and the changes we’re making from here.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="e7hck">
                    That’s today’s Research:
                    <a>
                     from the analysts’ desk, it’s the monthly performance update
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                    .
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                      Read or listen to the
Research here
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                     Flush With Opportunity
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                   <p data-block-key="mxemz">
                    <b>
                     What’s going on here?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="3651c">
                    Everybody’s getting into AI these days, and we mean
                    <i>
                     everybody
                    </i>
                    – even Japanese toilet maker
                    <b>
                     Toto
                    </b>
                    .
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="asrpl">
                    <b>
                     What does this mean?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="a4pum">
                    If you’ve been to Japan, you know: the country takes toilets
                    <a>
                     seriously
                    </a>
                    . And Toto’s the biggest name in the biz. But alongside space-age lavs and bidets, the company has a solid side hustle in the advanced ceramics business – the kind used in semiconductor components essential to AI. That’s turned into enough of a moneymaker that
                    <a>
                     activist
investor
                    </a>
                    <b>
                     Palliser Capital’s
                    </b>
                    been urging management to push deeper into it.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="adn7l">
                    🔺 On Friday, Toto announced record profit – thanks in large part to a 34% jump in semiconductor component sales. And the bidet on top: fresh plans to flush new cash into the segment. Investors cheered, sending the stock up 18% on the news
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="4p5km">
                    <b>
                     Why should I care?
                    </b>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="5h5mf">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For markets:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Power to the… profit?
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="784h0">
                    Activist investing is on the up in Japan. In fact, a record number of major shareholders used their stakes to pressure companies into making big changes last year. With plenty of cheaply valued firms willing to adopt shareholder-friendly reforms, activists see Japan as rich hunting grounds. And because Japanese companies closely watch each other’s moves, each big, activist-inspired share buyback or bold restructuring could inspire copycats.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="b3eag">
                    <b>
                     <i>
                      For
you personally:
                     </i>
                    </b>
                    <i>
                     Mind if I cut in?
                    </i>
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="7sl1m">
                    The Bank of Japan performed some activism of its own this week, stepping into the foreign exchange market to prop up the country’s currency. That led to the yen’s biggest one-day gain against the US dollar in almost two years.
                   </p>
                   <p data-block-key="8itoa">
                    ▶ See, Japan imports a lot of oil and gas – so when energy prices rise, its trade balance gets off-kilter, and the yen falls. So the central bank sold greenbacks from
its reserves and scooped up some yen, forcing the latter’s value higher.
                   </p>
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                     ✨
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                     🖋️
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                   <strong>
                    "Hands up if you’re ready to do something you’ll regret this weekend. Go forth! You have my blessing."
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                   – Florence Welch (a British singer-songwriter)
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                   <mj-raw>
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                     🎯
                    </span>
                    <span class="s18">
                     On Our Radar
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                 <td class="s19">
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                    <tr>
                     <td align="left" class="s29">
                      <div class="s30">
                       <p data-block-key="aaghi">
                        <b>
                         1. Oil prices aren’t as high as they should be.
                        </b>
                        And
                        <a>
                         that’s weird
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="85n3i">
                        <b>
                         2. Tiny Desk concerts.
                        </b>
                        Start with
                        <a>
                         Noah Kahan
                        </a>
                        , but don’t stop there.
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="3rrpu">
                        <b>
                         3. Everyone has a favorite Bond.
                        </b>
                        But in 007’s first video game outing in 15 years, he’s
                        <a>
                         whatever Bond you want
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="1quuq">
                        <b>
                         4. “It’s what Orwell would have wanted.”
                        </b>
                        With
                        <i>
                         Animal
Farm
                        </i>
                        out now – and its extended fart scene dividing critics – Andy Serkis
                        <a>
                         defends his animated version
                        </a>
                        .
                       </p>
                       <p data-block-key="230k3">
                        <b>
                         5. Oi, plonker!
                        </b>
                        Do you know real
                        <a>
                         British swear words
                        </a>
                        from fake?
                       </p>
                      </div>
                     </td>
                    </tr>
                   </tbody>
                  </table>
                 </td>
                </tr>
               </tbody>
              </table>
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<![endif]-->
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          </tbody>
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</td></tr></table>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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          <tbody>
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            <td align="left" class="s5">
             <div class="s30">
              Stay classy, Sarah 😉 This issue of the Daily Brief was curated by
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Russell
              </a>
              and
              <a style="color:inherit;font-weight:inherit">
               Linda
              </a>
              . Got an idea? A question?
              <a>
               Get in touch
              </a>
              .
             </div>
            </td>
           </tr>
          </tbody>
         </table>
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        <!--[if mso | IE]>
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                  Just alright
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