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<p data-block-key="kq9cp" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week ahead and what you might've missed last week.
</p>
<h3 style="font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.25; margin-bottom: 16px; margin-top: 24px; color: #171E27; color: rgba(23, 30, 39, 1); font-size: 24px; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
Tough Calls
</h3>
<p data-block-key="hcwxd" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
It’s set to be a nail-biter of a week, with three major central banks facing some tricky interest-rate decisions.
</p>
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
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<img alt="Tough Calls" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FWeekly-150626.original.png%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253Df549ef9816c631c084478e7278f740f4/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODE0NzQ1MzEuNjMzOTQ4M30:1wYsuB:67gPE8js79vqrj99SL3b7vXvT6yyXcWBi1yLTeAe1QI" width="100%"/>
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<p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
🔍 The focus this week: Interest rate… goals
</p>
<p data-block-key="6az05" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
🥅 It’s a huge week for central banks, with the Federal Reserve (Fed), Bank of England (BoE), and Bank of Japan (BoJ) all set to announce interest rate decisions. And not one of them has an easy call to make: they’re weighing their next move against a challenging backdrop of rising geopolitical tensions and higher energy prices.
</p>
<p data-block-key="d56g5" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
But much of the focus will be on
<b>
the Fed
</b>
. The US central bank has kept interest rates on hold for a while – but Wednesday's meeting is the first led by its new chair, Kevin Warsh. And investors are still trying to work out just where he stands. Some see him as a hawk, willing to keep interest rates higher for longer in hopes of taming the country’s inflation. Others view him as more dovish, having been hand-picked by a US president who’s openly argued for lower borrowing costs.
</p>
<p data-block-key="cio78" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Whatever his stance, the latest numbers don’t exactly make the case for rate cuts. US job growth smashed through all forecasts in May, and figures were revised higher for both April and March – making for the strongest three-month labor market stretch in over two years. Consumer prices, meanwhile, rose 4.2% in May – their fastest pace in over three years, and more than double the Fed’s 2% target.
</p>
<p data-block-key="b456l" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
That may keep policymakers on the back foot. The job market still looks strong and inflation is still stubbornly high, so the data isn’t exactly shouting for a rate cut. If anything, it reinforces the case for keeping borrowing costs higher for longer. That’s why traders expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged on Wednesday, and to announce a quarter-point
<i>
hike
</i>
by the end of the year. And it’s also why they’ll be paying extra close attention to the Fed’s updated “dot plot”, which shows where each policymaker sees interest rates moving over the next few years.
</p>
<p data-block-key="akqpt" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
<b>
The BoE
</b>
seems destined to hold rates steady this week too, but traders don’t expect it to stay that way for long. They’re pricing in two quarter-point hikes by year-end.
<b>
The BoJ
</b>
, meanwhile, looks more ready for action: it’s widely expected to raise rates on Tuesday. And those market players predict it won’t be the last time – they see another hike coming before the year is out.
</p>
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Join Finimize Pro
</p>
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
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<img alt="Finimize Pro" src="https://inboxflows.com/_/image/https%253A%252F%252Ffinimize-img.imgix.net%252Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fchivas-assets.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com%252Fstatic%252Fimages%252FPromo-Banner-Pro-v.6.original.jpg%253Fauto%253Dformat%2526fit%253Dclip%2526h%253DNone%2526ixlib%253Dpython-3.1.2%2526w%253D1200%2526s%253D7a8bf1878b634122585634425ace4dd0/?inbox_flows_img_sig=eyJwYXRoIjoiaHR0cHMlM0ElMkYlMkZmaW5pbWl6ZS1pbSIsInRpbWUiOjE3ODE0NzQ1MzEuNjM0MDkyOH0:1wYsuB:HHMZk9cel8f1s72C7_swu3CPbTdjrNjV60Vh7lvY_9w" width="100%"/>
</h4>
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<h3 data-block-key="eht7v" style="font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.25; margin-bottom: 16px; margin-top: 24px; color: #171E27; color: rgba(23, 30, 39, 1); font-size: 24px; font-family: 'Poppins', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Be your own financial advisor
</b>
</h3>
<p data-block-key="d4abj" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
If you’re managing
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
your own portfolio
</a>
, you already know that the job isn’t just pressing “buy”.
</p>
<p data-block-key="df6sd" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
It’s sorting
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
the savvy stuff
</a>
from the utter nonsense.
</p>
<p data-block-key="706f8" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
With
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
Finimize Pro
</a>
, you get actionable investing ideas from experienced analysts, model portfolios, and regular updates on every live idea, plus, full access to our research archive.
</p>
<p data-block-key="em3g7" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
It’s built for people who want to manage their own money and outthink the market – with proven research and cutting-edge insights.
</p>
<p data-block-key="2pqmh" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
Best part: it’s been known to
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
pay for itself.
</a>
Since launch in 2024, Finimize Pro ideas have returned
<b>
35% on average
</b>
, beaten their benchmarks by
<b>
16 percentage points
</b>
, and posted an
<b>
74% hit rate
</b>
(meaning, yep, most calls made money).
</p>
<p data-block-key="abloc" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px; margin: 0;">
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
<b>
Upgrade to Pro
</b>
</a>
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="vertical-align:top;padding:25px;padding-top:16px;padding-bottom:16px;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" role="presentation" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td align="left" style="font-size:0px;padding:0;word-break:break-word;">
<div style="font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;;font-size:13px;line-height:1;text-align:left;color:#000000;">
<p class="content-box-header mb-4" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; font-weight: 900; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px;">
📅 On the calendar
</p>
<ul style="padding: 0; margin: 0; list-style-type: disc; margin-left: 19px;">
<li data-block-key="gn5an" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Monday
</b>
: Eurozone industrial production (April), eurozone trade balance (April), US industrial production (May).
</li>
<li data-block-key="9iibo" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Tuesday:
</b>
China industrial production and retail sales (May), Bank of Japan interest rate decision, eurozone economic sentiment (June).
</li>
<li data-block-key="fbhol" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Wednesday:
</b>
Japan trade balance (May), UK inflation (May), US retail sales (May), Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
</li>
<li data-block-key="omgj" style="line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif;">
<b>
Thursday:
</b>
UK labor market (April), Bank of England interest rate decision.
</li>
<li data-block-key="cg01b" style="line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-size: 16px; font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 0;">
<b>
Friday:
</b>
Japan inflation (May), UK retail sales (May).
</li>
</ul>
</div>
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👀 What you might’ve missed last week
</p>
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🇺🇸
<b>
The US
</b>
</p>
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For 23 years,
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
US stock markets
</a>
had a pretty handy advantage: buybacks, delistings, and a lack of IPOs shrank the pool of publicly traded shares, which helped prop up share prices as demand held firm. Now,
<b>
Alphabet’s
</b>
record $85 billion share sale to fund AI spending, alongside an expected wave of blockbuster listings from
<b>
SpaceX
</b>
,
<b>
OpenAI
</b>
, and
<b>
Anthropic
</b>
, could reverse that trend. Some investors worry that a surge in new shares might overwhelm demand. Historically, similar issuance booms have often coincided with market peaks, after all.
</p>
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</p>
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US inflation
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
picked up speed
</a>
in May, with consumer prices rising 4.2% from a year earlier – the fastest pace in over three years, and up from 3.8% in April. A big chunk of that was because of energy: higher fuel and transport costs drove more than 60% of the increase. Even so, there was one small hint of good news: core inflation, which strips out the more volatile food and energy prices, was slightly milder than expected.
</p>
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</p>
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OpenAI took
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
a key step
</a>
toward going public, confidentially filing for a US IPO after its market value crossed above $850 billion. AI rival Anthropic also recently filed for a launch, just after a fundraising round that valued it at $965 billion, while SpaceX listed its shares last week at a roughly $1.8 trillion market cap. Together, the trio could deliver some of the biggest IPOs ever, reflecting, in part, the fact that big startups now stay private a whole lot longer.
</p>
<p data-block-key="8f24a" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #283444; color: rgba(40, 52, 68, 1); font-family: 'Helvetica Neue', Helvetica, arial, -apple-system, sans-serif; margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 16px;">
</p>
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🇪🇺
<b>
Europe
</b>
</p>
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</p>
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The European Central Bank (ECB) raised its key interest rate to 2.25% from 2% – its first hike since 2023. That made it the first major central bank to respond to the inflationary impact of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Policymakers lifted their inflation forecasts, trimmed their growth expectations, and warned that higher energy costs are starting to ripple through the broader economy. Meanwhile, traders are betting the Bank will hike rates at least one more time this year.
</p>
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</p>
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<b>
🇨🇳 China
</b>
</p>
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</p>
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China’s
<a style="color: #204CE9; color: rgba(32, 76, 233, 1); font-weight: 500; text-decoration: underline;">
trade machine
</a>
kicked into a higher gear in May, with exports jumping 19% and imports rising 27%, leaving a bigger-than-expected $105.4 billion trade surplus. Demand for AI hardware and green tech helped offset weak conditions at home, where consumer spending and the property market remain under pressure. While the strong trade figures reduced the need for fresh stimulus, they highlighted the country’s two-tier economy, where manufacturing and export activity are making up for some dismal consumer spending.
</p>
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4 days, 16 hours ago - hello@finimize.com
⚽ World Cup of interest rate decisions
Central banks and the investing week ahead. 👋 Hi Sarah. Here’s what you need to know for the week...